Toronto FC 3-0 Portland Timbers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.24
6+ Goals
11%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.27
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
9%
6.36
X/2
17%
5.46
X/X
16%
4.82
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
18%
3.37
2/X
6%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.2pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Toronto FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 43%
-12% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
1.20/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/2.09
-30% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -54%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
363 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 83%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
16.0 Crosses 13.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toronto FC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Portland Timbers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.62 xG 1.19
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
419 Passes 362
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.08.2022 Toronto FC Toronto FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
27.04.2019 Toronto FC Toronto FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
30.08.2018 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-0 HT 0-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
13.08.2017 Toronto FC Toronto FC 4-1 HT 0-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
01.05.2016 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-1 HT 1-1 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
24.05.2015 Toronto FC Toronto FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toronto FC
3-0
AWAY Portland Timbers
1.45 xG 0.38
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 3
244 Passes 363
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Toronto FC vs Portland Timbers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Toronto FC swept aside Portland Timbers 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Portland Timbers at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Toronto FC had 42% of the ball to Portland Timbers's 58%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.45 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Toronto FC and 1.33 for Portland Timbers.

What was the final score of Toronto FC vs Portland Timbers?

Toronto FC 3-0 Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Toronto FC vs Portland Timbers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portland Timbers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 30%, draw 26%, Portland Timbers 43%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Portland Timbers), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portland Timbers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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