New York City FC vs CF Montreal Prediction — Model Probabilities
New York City FC v CF Montreal — Team-Based Signals
New York City FC vs CF Montreal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
New York City FC 0-1 CF Montreal — Actual Match Statistics
CF Montreal squeezed past New York City FC 1-0 on the road. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
A gentle 51% lean on New York City FC didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, possession split 60% to 40% in New York City FC's favour, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 0.87 to 1.27.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for New York City FC against 0.50 for CF Montreal.
New York City FC vs CF Montreal Result & Final Score
New York City FC 0 - 1 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
New York City FC vs CF Montreal Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 51%, draw 25%, CF Montreal 24%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.