New York City FC vs CF Montreal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New York City FC v CF Montreal — Team-Based Signals
New York City FC vs CF Montreal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
CF Montreal
ABD
0-1
HT 0-1
New York City FC
ABD
1-3
HT 0-2
New York City FC
ABD
0-0
HT 0-0
New York City FC
ABD
New York City FC 0-1 CF Montreal — Actual Match Statistics
CF Montreal squeezed past New York City FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was New York City FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, New York City FC had 60% of the ball to CF Montreal's 40%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 0.87 to 1.27.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for New York City FC and 0.50 for CF Montreal.
What was the final score of New York City FC vs CF Montreal?
New York City FC 0-1 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New York City FC vs CF Montreal?
Before kick-off our model rated a New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 45%, draw 26%, CF Montreal 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (New York City FC) went the other way.