Philadelphia Union 2-2 Columbus Crew — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
9.24
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.91 — our 27% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.81
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
8%
12.25
X/1
10%
6.18
X/2
11%
5.98
X/X
14%
5.03
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
15%
3.62
2/X
7%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.9pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +30%
1.68/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.42
-12% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
21.1 Crosses 12.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Philadelphia Union
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.38 xG 1.68
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
257 Passes 457
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-2 HT 2-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
29.08.2024 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 0-1 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
22.08.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-1 HT 2-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union CONLK
01.10.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-1 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
26.02.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 4-1 HT 1-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
04.07.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 0-0 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Philadelphia Union
2-2
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.70 xG 0.91
30% Ball Possession 70%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
219 Passes 595
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
26 Box Touches 21
8 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Philadelphia Union and Columbus Crew couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Philadelphia Union had 30% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 70%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.70 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Philadelphia Union and 1.50 for Columbus Crew.

What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew?

Philadelphia Union 2-2 Columbus Crew in the USA - Major League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew?

Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 39%, draw 29%, Columbus Crew 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Philadelphia Union) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Philadelphia Union) ✓ BTTS Yes
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