Columbus Crew 3-2 Philadelphia Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.89
Over 2.5
62%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.41
No
39%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.61
2-3 Goals
34%
2.14
4-5 Goals
29%
2.5
6+ Goals
18%
5.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.15
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
12%
4.54
X/2
10%
9.3
X/X
9%
6.8
2/1
7%
19.05
2/2
14%
5.69
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.8pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
31%
+7.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
69%
-7.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
67%
-6.1pp
39%
BTTS No
33%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.65/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.48
+1% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
17.9 Crosses 16.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Columbus Crew
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Philadelphia Union
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.70 xG 1.52
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
456 Passes 242
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.08.2024 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 0-1 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
22.08.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-1 HT 2-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union CONLK
01.10.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-1 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
26.02.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 4-1 HT 1-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
04.07.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 0-0 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
10.04.2022 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-0 HT 1-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
3-2
AWAY Philadelphia Union
1.32 xG 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
509 Passes 270
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
35 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew nicked a narrow win over Philadelphia Union 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Columbus Crew as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Columbus Crew had 62% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 38%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.32 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Columbus Crew and 1.17 for Philadelphia Union.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union?

Columbus Crew 3-2 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 43%, draw 24%, Philadelphia Union 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Columbus Crew), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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