New England Revolution 1-2 DC United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 6 Oct 2024

New England Revolution
1-2 HT 0-2
DC United
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
USA - Major League – 2024

New England Revolution vs DC United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.63
Over 2.5
54%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
6.14
2-3 Goals
41%
2.08
4-5 Goals
23%
2.56
6+ Goals
11%
5.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.17
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
24.0
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
13%
5.76
X/2
9%
6.17
X/X
9%
6.24
2/1
6%
22.7
2/2
17%
3.48
2/X
8%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.0 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
34%
+12.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
66%
-12.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.2pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

New England Revolution v DC United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY DC United EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.37/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.03
-9% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 83%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
19.1 Crosses 15.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

New England Revolution vs DC United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New England Revolution
4W-0D-2L
AWAY DC United
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.67 xG 1.95
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
360 Passes 308
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.02.2024 DC United DC United 3-1 HT 1-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
16.07.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 4-0 HT 2-0 DC United DC United ABD
26.03.2023 DC United DC United 1-2 HT 1-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
14.08.2022 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-0 HT 1-0 DC United DC United ABD
24.04.2022 DC United DC United 3-2 HT 3-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
21.10.2021 DC United DC United 2-3 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD

New England Revolution 1-2 DC United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
1-2
AWAY DC United
0.62 xG 0.95
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
447 Passes 228
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 18
35 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH New England Revolution vs DC United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

DC United edged past New England Revolution 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was New England Revolution at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, New England Revolution had 63% of the ball to DC United's 37%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.62 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New England Revolution had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for New England Revolution and 1.50 for DC United.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs DC United?

New England Revolution 1-2 DC United in the USA - Major League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs DC United?

Before kick-off our model rated a New England Revolution win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 43%, draw 24%, DC United 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New England Revolution) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (New England Revolution) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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