Atlanta United vs New York Red Bulls Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atlanta United v New York Red Bulls — Team-Based Signals
Atlanta United vs New York Red Bulls Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Atlanta United
ABD
1-0
HT 1-0
New York Red Bulls
ABD
1-2
HT 0-2
New York Red Bulls
ABD
2-1
HT 0-0
Atlanta United
ABD
0-0
HT 0-0
Atlanta United
ABD
Atlanta United 2-1 New York Red Bulls — Actual Match Statistics
Atlanta United squeezed past New York Red Bulls 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Atlanta United made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Atlanta United had 65% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 35%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.01 to 0.52 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Atlanta United's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atlanta United and 1.67 for New York Red Bulls.
What was the final score of Atlanta United vs New York Red Bulls?
Atlanta United 2-1 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atlanta United vs New York Red Bulls?
Before kick-off our model rated an New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atlanta United 35%, draw 28%, New York Red Bulls 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New York Red Bulls) went the other way.