FC Cincinnati 1-3 Orlando City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.84
6+ Goals
12%
7.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.85
1/2
9%
29.0
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
14%
5.02
X/2
14%
6.81
X/X
10%
5.57
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
11%
4.34
2/X
9%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.8pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando City EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +34%
1.47/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.34
+1% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
13.5 Crosses 16.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Cincinnati
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Orlando City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.04 xG 0.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
393 Passes 376
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
03.09.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 0-1 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
05.03.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
25.06.2022 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-0 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
13.03.2022 Orlando City Orlando City 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
17.10.2021 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 0-1 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cincinnati
1-3
AWAY Orlando City
1.17 xG 2.06
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
454 Passes 375
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 9
14 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando City saw off FC Cincinnati 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Orlando City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Cincinnati had 54% of the ball to Orlando City's 46%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.17 to 2.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Cincinnati and 0.50 for Orlando City.

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City?

FC Cincinnati 1-3 Orlando City in the USA - Major League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 40%, draw 26%, Orlando City 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Cincinnati) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Cincinnati) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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