Vancouver Whitecaps 0-1 Minnesota United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 6 Oct 2024

Vancouver Whitecaps
0-1 HT 0-1
Minnesota United
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Minnesota United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.62
2-3 Goals
43%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
13%
8.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.28
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
18%
4.35
X/2
9%
8.75
X/X
9%
5.79
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.0
2/2
15%
5.97
2/X
7%
14.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.0 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vancouver Whitecaps v Minnesota United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +25%
1.91/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.70
+4% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
23.5 Crosses 14.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Minnesota United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Minnesota United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.39 xG 1.64
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
359 Passes 368
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.07.2024 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-3 HT 1-2 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
07.05.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 3-2 HT 1-1 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
26.03.2023 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-1 HT 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
10.10.2022 Minnesota United Minnesota United 2-0 HT 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
09.07.2022 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-3 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
28.10.2021 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 HT 1-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD

Vancouver Whitecaps 0-1 Minnesota United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
0-1
AWAY Minnesota United
0.46 xG 2.67
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
558 Passes 307
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 31
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vancouver Whitecaps vs Minnesota United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minnesota United squeezed past Vancouver Whitecaps 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Vancouver Whitecaps at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vancouver Whitecaps had 63% of the ball to Minnesota United's 37%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.46 to 2.67 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Minnesota United's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vancouver Whitecaps had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vancouver Whitecaps and 1.67 for Minnesota United.

What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Minnesota United?

Vancouver Whitecaps 0-1 Minnesota United in the USA - Major League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Minnesota United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Vancouver Whitecaps 47%, draw 24%, Minnesota United 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
6 Oct 2024
00:00 New York City FC vs Nashville SC Analysis →
02:30 New England Revolution vs DC United Analysis →
02:30 Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union Analysis →
02:30 FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City Analysis →
02:30 Atlanta United vs New York Red Bulls Analysis →
02:30 Charlotte vs CF Montreal Analysis →