FC Dallas 1-1 Real Salt Lake — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.12
6+ Goals
11%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 27% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.18
1/2
8%
30.0
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
11%
5.32
X/2
14%
6.59
X/X
10%
5.02
2/1
7%
24.65
2/2
10%
4.44
2/X
9%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.36/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.97
-2% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
16.2 Crosses 16.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Dallas
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Real Salt Lake
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.62 xG 1.69
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
375 Passes 390
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2025 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
19.09.2024 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-2 HT 2-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
26.05.2024 FC Dallas FC Dallas 3-3 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
21.09.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 1-3 HT 1-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
16.04.2023 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
28.08.2022 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Dallas
1-1
AWAY Real Salt Lake
1.25 xG 0.36
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
400 Passes 415
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Dallas and Real Salt Lake shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was FC Dallas at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FC Dallas had 50% of the ball to Real Salt Lake's 50%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 1.25 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Dallas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Dallas and 1.50 for Real Salt Lake.

What was the final score of FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake?

FC Dallas 1-1 Real Salt Lake in the USA - Major League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Dallas win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FC Dallas 43%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Dallas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Dallas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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