FC Dallas 3-3 Real Salt Lake — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.97
Over 2.5
43%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 33% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
34%
+8.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
31%
Away Win
40%
-8.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.1pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -8%
1.40/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.57
+3% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +47%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
15.5 Crosses 21.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Dallas
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Real Salt Lake
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.10 xG 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
306 Passes 399
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 1-3 HT 1-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
16.04.2023 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
28.08.2022 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
24.07.2022 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
28.10.2021 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
05.09.2021 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-2 HT 1-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Dallas
3-3
AWAY Real Salt Lake
1.62 xG 3.10
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 20
9 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
339 Passes 543
83% Pass Accuracy 90%
20 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Dallas and Real Salt Lake couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FC Dallas at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Dallas had 40% of the ball to Real Salt Lake's 60%, shots finished 14-20, expected goals 1.62 to 3.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Dallas had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Dallas and 1.33 for Real Salt Lake.

What was the final score of FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake?

FC Dallas 3-3 Real Salt Lake in the USA - Major League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Dallas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Dallas 42%, draw 27%, Real Salt Lake 31%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Dallas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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