Real Salt Lake 0-1 FC Dallas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.79
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
27%
2.95
6+ Goals
14%
9.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.56
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
14%
4.77
X/2
10%
7.91
X/X
14%
5.19
2/1
8%
22.1
2/2
12%
5.6
2/X
8%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.2pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.69/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.41
+2% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
19.0 Crosses 12.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Salt Lake
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Dallas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.85 xG 1.38
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
430 Passes 342
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2024 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-2 HT 2-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
26.05.2024 FC Dallas FC Dallas 3-3 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
21.09.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 1-3 HT 1-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
16.04.2023 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
28.08.2022 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
24.07.2022 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Salt Lake
0-1
AWAY FC Dallas
1.09 xG 2.19
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
276 Passes 384
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Dallas nicked a narrow win over Real Salt Lake 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Real Salt Lake at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Salt Lake had 44% of the ball to FC Dallas's 56%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.09 to 2.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Dallas led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Real Salt Lake and 2.00 for FC Dallas.

What was the final score of Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas?

Real Salt Lake 0-1 FC Dallas in the USA - Major League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Salt Lake win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Real Salt Lake 43%, draw 28%, FC Dallas 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Salt Lake) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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