Philadelphia Union vs St. Louis City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Philadelphia Union v St. Louis City — Team-Based Signals
Philadelphia Union 1-0 St. Louis City — Actual Match Statistics
Philadelphia Union edged past St. Louis City 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Philadelphia Union as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Philadelphia Union had 46% of the ball to St. Louis City's 54%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.34 to 0.16.
What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs St. Louis City?
Philadelphia Union 1-0 St. Louis City in the USA - Major League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs St. Louis City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 45%, draw 26%, St. Louis City 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Philadelphia Union) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.