Orlando City vs DC United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Orlando City v DC United — Team-Based Signals
Orlando City vs DC United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-1
DC United
ABD
1-1
HT 0-0
Orlando City
ABD
2-1
HT 0-1
Orlando City
ABD
3-5
HT 0-2
DC United
ABD
Orlando City 4-1 DC United — Actual Match Statistics
Orlando City ran out comfortable winners over DC United 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Orlando City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Orlando City had 44% of the ball to DC United's 56%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 3.04 to 1.30.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, DC United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Orlando City and 2.17 for DC United.
What was the final score of Orlando City vs DC United?
Orlando City 4-1 DC United in the USA - Major League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orlando City vs DC United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 48%, draw 25%, DC United 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.