Nashville SC 3-0 CF Montreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
27%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.0
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.4
X/1
15%
4.03
X/2
8%
10.65
X/X
10%
5.65
2/1
7%
22.1
2/2
10%
8.61
2/X
6%
17.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-8.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.85/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.63
-2% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
19.9 Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nashville SC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY CF Montreal
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.25 xG 0.78
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
348 Passes 488
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-0 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
05.05.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 4-1 HT 2-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
22.06.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 1-0 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
12.03.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-0 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
19.05.2022 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-1 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
12.09.2021 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-1 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nashville SC
3-0
AWAY CF Montreal
1.69 xG 0.38
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
359 Passes 369
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nashville SC vs CF Montreal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nashville SC cruised past CF Montreal 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nashville SC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nashville SC had 49% of the ball to CF Montreal's 51%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.69 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nashville SC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nashville SC and 0.50 for CF Montreal.

What was the final score of Nashville SC vs CF Montreal?

Nashville SC 3-0 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs CF Montreal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 50%, draw 24%, CF Montreal 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nashville SC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nashville SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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