Nashville SC 4-1 CF Montreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.76
6+ Goals
11%
15.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.26
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.05
X/1
23%
4.04
X/2
6%
9.6
X/X
11%
4.58
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
10%
7.66
2/X
5%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 23%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +14%
1.92/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.51
-12% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
23.2 Crosses 14.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nashville SC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY CF Montreal
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.42 xG 0.63
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
397 Passes 431
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 1-0 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
12.03.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-0 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
19.05.2022 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-1 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
12.09.2021 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-1 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
27.06.2021 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-1 HT 0-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
24.04.2021 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-2 HT 0-2 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nashville SC
4-1
AWAY CF Montreal
2.80 xG 0.76
38% Ball Possession 62%
19 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
317 Passes 568
82% Pass Accuracy 90%
31 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nashville SC vs CF Montreal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nashville SC cruised past CF Montreal 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nashville SC as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nashville SC had 38% of the ball to CF Montreal's 62%, shots finished 19-17, expected goals 2.80 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nashville SC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nashville SC and 0.83 for CF Montreal.

What was the final score of Nashville SC vs CF Montreal?

Nashville SC 4-1 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs CF Montreal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 53%, draw 25%, CF Montreal 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nashville SC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nashville SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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