Sporting Kansas City 0-2 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 23 Mar 2025

Sporting Kansas City
0-2 HT 0-1
Los Angeles FC
📅23/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2025

Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.01
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.5
6+ Goals
11%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 28% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.16
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
15%
6.02
X/2
9%
5.39
X/X
15%
4.48
2/1
5%
30.5
2/2
20%
3.5
2/X
6%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting Kansas City v Los Angeles FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Kansas City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 42%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +3%
1.40/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.37
+27% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 82%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
18.8 Crosses 15.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Kansas City
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.81 xG 1.57
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
440 Passes 355
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.10.2024 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 0-3 HT 0-2 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
26.09.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 3-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABDK
10.03.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
18.06.2023 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 1-2 HT 1-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
18.05.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
24.07.2022 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 0-2 HT 0-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD

Sporting Kansas City 0-2 Los Angeles FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Kansas City
0-2
AWAY Los Angeles FC
0.83 xG 1.74
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 1
401 Passes 417
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
42 Box Touches 14
42 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles FC saw off Sporting Kansas City 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Los Angeles FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sporting Kansas City had 51% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 49%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.83 to 1.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sporting Kansas City and 1.83 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC?

Sporting Kansas City 0-2 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Kansas City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sporting Kansas City 38%, draw 27%, Los Angeles FC 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting Kansas City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Kansas City) ✓ Under 2.5
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