Real Salt Lake 3-2 FC Dallas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 19 Sep 2024

📅19/09/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
30%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
8.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.22
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
18%
4.33
X/2
7%
9.13
X/X
9%
5.74
2/1
8%
21.05
2/2
12%
6.29
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+0.5pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.69/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.41
+15% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
19.6 Crosses 12.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Salt Lake
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Dallas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.67 xG 1.20
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
429 Passes 318
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 19
27 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 FC Dallas FC Dallas 3-3 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
21.09.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 1-3 HT 1-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
16.04.2023 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
28.08.2022 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
24.07.2022 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
28.10.2021 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Salt Lake
3-2
AWAY FC Dallas
2.18 xG 2.38
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
353 Passes 427
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 20
6 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Salt Lake nicked a narrow win over FC Dallas 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Salt Lake as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Real Salt Lake had 45% of the ball to FC Dallas's 55%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 2.18 to 2.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Dallas led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Salt Lake and 1.83 for FC Dallas.

What was the final score of Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas?

Real Salt Lake 3-2 FC Dallas in the USA - Major League on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Salt Lake win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Real Salt Lake 54%, draw 21%, FC Dallas 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Salt Lake), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Salt Lake) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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