New York Red Bulls 7-0 Los Angeles Galaxy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
13.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.58
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
14%
4.53
X/2
10%
8.01
X/X
13%
4.89
2/1
6%
24.2
2/2
14%
6.18
2/X
7%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.43/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.74
-6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
17.6 Crosses 15.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York Red Bulls
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.81 xG 2.18
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
336 Passes 302
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 HT 2-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
26.04.2021 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 3-2 HT 2-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
04.05.2019 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 3-2 HT 1-2 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
29.04.2018 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 2-3 HT 0-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
15.05.2017 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-3 HT 0-2 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
08.08.2016 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York Red Bulls
7-0
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
3.65 xG 2.01
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 16
11 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
384 Passes 429
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 26
7 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH New York Red Bulls vs Los Angeles Galaxy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York Red Bulls ran out comfortable winners over Los Angeles Galaxy 7-0. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had New York Red Bulls as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, New York Red Bulls had 46% of the ball to Los Angeles Galaxy's 54%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 3.65 to 2.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles Galaxy led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for New York Red Bulls and 2.33 for Los Angeles Galaxy.

What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

New York Red Bulls 7-0 Los Angeles Galaxy in the USA - Major League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 41%, draw 27%, Los Angeles Galaxy 32%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York Red Bulls) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (New York Red Bulls) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
11 May 2025
02:30 Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew Analysis →
02:30 New York City FC vs CF Montreal Analysis →
02:30 Orlando City vs New England Revolution Analysis →
02:30 FC Cincinnati vs Austin Analysis →
03:30 FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake Analysis →
03:30 St. Louis City vs San Diego Analysis →