Schott Mainz 0-7 Homburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
55%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-1.6pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.4pp
55%
Away Win
52%
+3.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.0pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schott Mainz EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Homburg EU Bookmakers 56%
-3% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +5%
1.30/2.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/0.82
+1% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +31%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schott Mainz
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Homburg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 0
30.09.2025 Homburg Homburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz ALMBÖL
02.03.2024 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz 1-2 HT 1-2 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
29.08.2023 Homburg Homburg 2-2 HT 0-2 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz ALMBÖL
05.03.2022 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz 0-3 HT 0-1 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
18.09.2021 Homburg Homburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz ALMBÖL
20.02.2021 Homburg Homburg 2-1 HT 2-1 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Schott Mainz vs Homburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Homburg cruised past Schott Mainz 7-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Homburg as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Homburg led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Schott Mainz and 2.00 for Homburg.

What was the final score of Schott Mainz vs Homburg?

Schott Mainz 0-7 Homburg in the Germany - Regional League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schott Mainz vs Homburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Schott Mainz 25%, draw 20%, Homburg 55%. The final score 0-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Homburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Homburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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