Khalidiya 2-1 Al Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.59
2-3 Goals
35%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.02
6+ Goals
8%
19.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 38% vs market 30.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
24%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-6.3pp
34%
Draw
31%
+3.7pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.91/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.00
-26% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khalidiya
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Riffa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2025 Al Riffa Al Riffa 0-2 HT 0-2 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
05.04.2025 Al Riffa Al Riffa 2-2 HT 2-1 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
27.09.2024 Khalidiya Khalidiya 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
03.05.2024 Khalidiya Khalidiya 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
03.12.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-0 HT 0-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
16.04.2023 Khalidiya Khalidiya 3-2 HT 1-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khalidiya
2-1
AWAY Al Riffa
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Khalidiya vs Al Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khalidiya nicked a narrow win over Al Riffa 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 34% / 32% — and on the day Khalidiya made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Khalidiya had 56% of the ball to Al Riffa's 44%, shots finished 20-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Khalidiya had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Khalidiya and 1.00 for Al Riffa.

What was the final score of Khalidiya vs Al Riffa?

Khalidiya 2-1 Al Riffa in the Bahrain - Premier League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khalidiya vs Al Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Khalidiya 33%, draw 34%, Al Riffa 32%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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