Al Riffa 2-2 Khalidiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.12
2-3 Goals
46%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.48
6+ Goals
7%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 27% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
46%
Away Win
46%
-0.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 50%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/1.26
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
260 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riffa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Khalidiya
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2024 Khalidiya Khalidiya 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
03.05.2024 Khalidiya Khalidiya 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
03.12.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-0 HT 0-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
16.04.2023 Khalidiya Khalidiya 3-2 HT 1-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
28.01.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 3-1 HT 3-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
15.09.2022 Khalidiya Khalidiya 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAHSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riffa
2-2
AWAY Khalidiya
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
7 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Riffa vs Khalidiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riffa and Khalidiya couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Khalidiya at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Riffa had 53% of the ball to Khalidiya's 47%, shots finished 5-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Khalidiya led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Riffa and 1.33 for Khalidiya.

What was the final score of Al Riffa vs Khalidiya?

Al Riffa 2-2 Khalidiya in the Bahrain - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riffa vs Khalidiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Khalidiya win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Riffa 29%, draw 25%, Khalidiya 46%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Khalidiya) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAH More Bahrain - Premier League
5 Apr 2025
00:00 East Riffa vs Bahrain SC Analysis →
00:00 Manama vs Sitra Analysis →