Manama 0-3 Sitra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

Manama
0-3
Sitra
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Bahrain - Premier League – 2024/2025

Manama vs Sitra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.75
2-3 Goals
35%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.91
6+ Goals
10%
18.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 36% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-2.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manama v Sitra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manama EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sitra EU Bookmakers 50%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
0.62/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.08
-43% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
237 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Manama vs Sitra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manama
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sitra
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.09.2024 Sitra Sitra 4-1 Manama Manama BAH
07.04.2024 Sitra Sitra 1-2 HT 1-2 Manama Manama BAH
22.10.2023 Manama Manama 0-0 HT 0-0 Sitra Sitra BAH
19.02.2023 Sitra Sitra 2-0 HT 2-0 Manama Manama BAH
02.02.2023 Manama Manama 1-1 HT 0-0 Sitra Sitra BAHKK
13.09.2022 Sitra Sitra 0-0 HT 0-0 Manama Manama BAH
POST-MATCH Manama vs Sitra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sitra cruised past Manama 3-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sitra as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sitra led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Manama and 1.33 for Sitra.

What was the final score of Manama vs Sitra?

Manama 0-3 Sitra in the Bahrain - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manama vs Sitra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sitra win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Manama 30%, draw 26%, Sitra 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sitra), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sitra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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