Excelsior 0-2 NEC Nijmegen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 4 Apr 2026

Excelsior
0-2 HT 0-1
NEC Nijmegen
📅04/04/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.33
Over Pick
59%
1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.64
2-3
37%
1.89
4-5
27%
2.71
6+
14%
7.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.23
1/2 ✗
8%
20.55
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
9%
7.85
X/2
15%
4.85
X/X
6%
5.78
2/1
5%
31.0
2/2
24%
2.5
2/X
9%
12.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.55 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Excelsior v NEC Nijmegen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Excelsior The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC Nijmegen The Market 53%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.43 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.71
1.69 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.62
Average Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Bad
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 81%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
19.0 Crosses 25.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5

Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior
2W-1D-3L
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.25 xG 1.59
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
298 Passes 390
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.08.2025 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 5-0 HT 1-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
06.05.2024 Excelsior Excelsior 0-3 HT 0-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
13.08.2023 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3-4 HT 2-1 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
19.02.2023 Excelsior Excelsior 0-3 HT 0-1 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
08.10.2022 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-1 HT 0-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
09.04.2021 Excelsior Excelsior 2-1 HT 0-1 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL2

Excelsior 0-2 NEC Nijmegen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior
0-2
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
0.72 xG 1.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
278 Passes 368
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 16
REVIEW Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

NEC Nijmegen had too much for Excelsior 2-0 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.

True to our pre-match read, our model had NEC Nijmegen as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: NEC Nijmegen saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.72 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NEC Nijmegen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Excelsior against 2.67 for NEC Nijmegen.

Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen Result & Final Score

Excelsior 0-2 NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Excelsior 30%, draw 23%, NEC Nijmegen 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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