AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Fortuna Sittard — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
67%
1.33
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.63
Over
58%
1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.69
No
43%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
19%
5.76
2-3
42%
2.03
4-5
26%
2.49
6+
13%
5.44
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.76 — our 19% vs market 12.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.53
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
9%
18.5
X/1
23%
3.98
X/2
5%
16.3
X/X
7%
8.4
2/1
9%
18.9
2/2
5%
12.5
2/X
3%
21.05
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME AZ Alkmaar The Market 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Sittard The Market 16%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
2.31 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.77
0.94 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.10
Average Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Average
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
405 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
37.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
19.0 Crosses 11.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ Alkmaar
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.97 xG 1.23
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
475 Passes 280
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.12.2025 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 4-3 HT 2-2 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
23.02.2025 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
06.10.2024 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-0 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
17.02.2024 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-2 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
01.10.2023 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 4-0 HT 1-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
16.04.2023 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-3 HT 0-2 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ Alkmaar
2-0
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
375 Passes 264
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
REVIEW AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

AZ Alkmaar had too much for Fortuna Sittard 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AZ Alkmaar as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) never looked like landing.

On the day, AZ Alkmaar had 55% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard's 45%, shots finished 15-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 1.00 for Fortuna Sittard.

AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard Result & Final Score

AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar 67%, draw 19%, Fortuna Sittard 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AZ Alkmaar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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