Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortuna Sittard v AZ Alkmaar — Team-Based Signals
Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
0-3
HT 0-2
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
3-1
HT 2-1
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
1-2
HT 0-1
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
2-1
HT 1-1
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
Fortuna Sittard 1-0 AZ Alkmaar — Actual Match Statistics
Fortuna Sittard nicked a narrow win over AZ Alkmaar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was AZ Alkmaar at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Fortuna Sittard had 43% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar's 57%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 2.05 to 0.82 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fortuna Sittard's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fortuna Sittard and 2.67 for AZ Alkmaar.
What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar?
Fortuna Sittard 1-0 AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar?
Before kick-off our model rated an AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard 26%, draw 24%, AZ Alkmaar 50%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AZ Alkmaar) went the other way.