Go Ahead Eagles 4-1 Heracles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
3.0
6+ Goals
12%
9.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.96
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.65
X/1
12%
3.88
X/2
7%
11.0
X/X
9%
6.01
2/1
8%
21.25
2/2
7%
8.13
2/X
8%
16.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
60%
-3.2pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.2pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Heracles EU Bookmakers 21%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.91/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.85
+13% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
389 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
32.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
19.8 Crosses 14.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Heracles
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.51 xG 1.54
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
303 Passes 362
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2024 Heracles Heracles 2-0 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
07.10.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 4-0 HT 2-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
12.01.2023 Heracles Heracles 0-1 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOK
23.01.2022 Heracles Heracles 1-1 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
16.10.2021 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 4-2 HT 1-1 Heracles Heracles HOL
08.04.2017 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-4 HT 1-4 Heracles Heracles HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
4-1
AWAY Heracles
4.39 xG 0.48
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
423 Passes 239
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
34 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Go Ahead Eagles vs Heracles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Go Ahead Eagles ran out comfortable winners over Heracles 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Go Ahead Eagles as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Go Ahead Eagles had 60% of the ball to Heracles's 40%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 4.39 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Go Ahead Eagles had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Go Ahead Eagles and 1.50 for Heracles.

What was the final score of Go Ahead Eagles vs Heracles?

Go Ahead Eagles 4-1 Heracles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Go Ahead Eagles vs Heracles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Go Ahead Eagles 57%, draw 24%, Heracles 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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