AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AZ Alkmaar v Fortuna Sittard — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
0-3
HT 0-2
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
3-1
HT 2-1
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
1-2
HT 0-1
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
AZ Alkmaar 1-0 Fortuna Sittard — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar edged past Fortuna Sittard 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had AZ Alkmaar as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar had 53% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard's 47%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.61 to 0.61.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 0.67 for Fortuna Sittard.
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard?
AZ Alkmaar 1-0 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard?
Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar 62%, draw 22%, Fortuna Sittard 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.