Ajax 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.95
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
27%
2.65
6+ Goals
14%
6.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.79
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.3
X/1
24%
4.18
X/2
8%
12.5
X/X
7%
6.85
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
19.5
2/2
7%
9.41
2/X
6%
17.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.5 — our 11% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.5pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +23%
1.94/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.05
-8% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +10%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
481 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
33.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
21.0 Crosses 16.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.45 xG 1.14
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
556 Passes 246
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
45 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2024 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 HT 0-0 Ajax Ajax HOL
04.04.2024 Ajax Ajax 1-1 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
14.01.2024 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-3 HT 1-2 Ajax Ajax HOL
02.04.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-0 HT 0-0 Ajax Ajax HOL
01.10.2022 Ajax Ajax 1-1 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
27.02.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 HT 2-0 Ajax Ajax HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax
2-0
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
2.10 xG 0.24
49% Ball Possession 51%
21 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
411 Passes 407
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
38 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax beat Go Ahead Eagles 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ajax as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ajax had 49% of the ball to Go Ahead Eagles's 51%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 2.10 to 0.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ajax and 1.17 for Go Ahead Eagles.

What was the final score of Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Ajax 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Ajax 56%, draw 22%, Go Ahead Eagles 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajax) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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