Ordabasy Shymkent 1-1 Atyrau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.52
Draw
22%
3.81
Away
14%
5.36
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.83
Over
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
46%
4-5
22%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet. This match carries Gold/Silver/Bronze value markets — free account to see them.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent The Market 66%
Signal
AWAY Atyrau The Market 19%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.14 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.78
0.82 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.58
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Strong
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Atyrau
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.08.2025 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-2 HT 2-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
03.05.2025 Atyrau Atyrau 1-2 HT 0-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
15.09.2024 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 HT 1-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
06.03.2024 Atyrau Atyrau 1-1 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
15.07.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 1-1 HT 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
03.06.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-1 HT 2-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
REVIEW Ordabasy Shymkent vs Atyrau
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Ordabasy Shymkent and Atyrau with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Ordabasy Shymkent carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 47%, coin-flips both.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ordabasy Shymkent had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Ordabasy Shymkent against 1.00 for Atyrau.

Ordabasy Shymkent vs Atyrau Result & Final Score

Ordabasy Shymkent 1 - 1 Atyrau in the Kazakistan - Super League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ordabasy Shymkent vs Atyrau Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 64%, draw 22%, Atyrau 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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