Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 Atyrau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
33%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.0pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+11.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.3pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Atyrau EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
1.87/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.45
+23% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Atyrau
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.03.2024 Atyrau Atyrau 1-1 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
15.07.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 1-1 HT 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
03.06.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-1 HT 2-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
01.10.2022 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-0 HT 1-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
29.07.2022 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-2 HT 1-1 Atyrau Atyrau KAZKK
22.07.2022 Atyrau Atyrau 1-4 HT 0-2 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZKK
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs Atyrau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent edged past Atyrau 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ordabasy Shymkent as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ordabasy Shymkent had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ordabasy Shymkent and 1.00 for Atyrau.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs Atyrau?

Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 Atyrau in the Kazakistan - Super League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs Atyrau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 45%, draw 22%, Atyrau 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAZP More Kazakistan - Super League
15 Sep 2024
15:00 Yelimay Semey vs Tobol Analysis →
17:00 Aktobe vs Zhetysu Analysis →