Aktobe 3-0 Zhetysu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.97
Over 2.5
41%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
62%
-13.7pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.7pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
47%
+11.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
53%
-11.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aktobe EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +21%
1.96/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.48
+12% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aktobe
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Zhetysu
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
28.04.2024 Zhetysu Zhetysu 2-1 HT 1-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
14.04.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 1-0 HT 1-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZKK
29.10.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 2-2 HT 1-2 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
04.03.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-1 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
26.09.2021 Aktobe Aktobe 2-0 HT 2-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
09.05.2021 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-5 HT 1-2 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
POST-MATCH Aktobe vs Zhetysu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aktobe ran out comfortable winners over Zhetysu 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aktobe as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aktobe had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Aktobe and 0.83 for Zhetysu.

What was the final score of Aktobe vs Zhetysu?

Aktobe 3-0 Zhetysu in the Kazakistan - Super League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aktobe vs Zhetysu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aktobe 48%, draw 29%, Zhetysu 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aktobe), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aktobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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