Yelimay Semey 2-1 Tobol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 15 Sep 2024

Yelimay Semey
2-1 HT 1-0
Tobol
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Kazakistan - Super League – 2024

Yelimay Semey vs Tobol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.1pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.1pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.0pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yelimay Semey v Tobol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tobol EU Bookmakers 29%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +3%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.35
+36% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
293 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Yelimay Semey vs Tobol Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yelimay Semey
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tobol
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
The Meetings
06.03.2024 Tobol Tobol 4-2 HT 2-1 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZP
POST-MATCH Yelimay Semey vs Tobol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yelimay Semey squeezed past Tobol 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Yelimay Semey as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Yelimay Semey vs Tobol?

Yelimay Semey 2-1 Tobol in the Kazakistan - Super League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yelimay Semey vs Tobol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yelimay Semey win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Yelimay Semey 41%, draw 33%, Tobol 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yelimay Semey), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yelimay Semey) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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