04/04/2026
·
13:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
27%
Draw
30%
27%
Away Win
27%
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
54%
BTTS No
58%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ulinzi Stars v APS Bomet — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ulinzi Stars
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
APS Bomet
EU Bookmakers 31%
-20% /
-20%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-10% /
-10%
0.91/0.96
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.60/1.20
-7%
/
-14%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-32%
/
-22%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
9
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
232 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
356 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.1
Yellow Cards
0.0
Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Ulinzi Stars
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
APS Bomet
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
APS Bomet nicked a narrow win over Ulinzi Stars 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Ulinzi Stars at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
What was the final score of Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet?
Ulinzi Stars 0-1 APS Bomet in the Kenya - Premier League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ulinzi Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ulinzi Stars 45%, draw 27%, APS Bomet 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ulinzi Stars) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Ulinzi Stars)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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4 Apr 2026