Gor Mahia 0-0 Kariobangi Sharks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Kariobangi Sharks EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
2.13/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/0.93
+53% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
371 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gor Mahia
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Kariobangi Sharks
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.01.2026 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 1-4 HT 0-2 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN
05.03.2025 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 1-3 HT 1-1 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN
22.12.2024 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia 1-0 HT 1-0 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks KEN
27.10.2021 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 0-2 HT 0-1 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gor Mahia
0-0
AWAY Kariobangi Sharks
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Gor Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gor Mahia and Kariobangi Sharks fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Gor Mahia at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gor Mahia had 58% of the ball to Kariobangi Sharks's 42%, shots finished 14-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gor Mahia had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Gor Mahia and 0.50 for Kariobangi Sharks.

What was the final score of Gor Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks?

Gor Mahia 0-0 Kariobangi Sharks in the Kenya - Premier League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gor Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gor Mahia 49%, draw 28%, Kariobangi Sharks 24%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gor Mahia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gor Mahia) ✓ Under 2.5
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