Irapuato 3-1 CA La Paz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.61
Draw
14%
3.94
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.23
Over 2.5
69%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.63
No
32%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
58%
-0.2pp
14%
Draw
22%
-8.2pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.5pp
31%
Under 2.5
41%
-9.7pp
69%
Over 2.5
59%
+9.7pp
68%
BTTS Yes
57%
+10.4pp
32%
BTTS No
43%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Irapuato EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 23%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
3.60/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.95
+83% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Irapuato
0W-1D-0L
AWAY CA La Paz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
25.10.2025 CA La Paz CA La Paz 2-2 HT 1-0 Irapuato Irapuato MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Irapuato
3-1
AWAY CA La Paz
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Irapuato vs CA La Paz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Irapuato beat CA La Paz 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Irapuato as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (68%) came in.

On the day, Irapuato had 57% of the ball to CA La Paz's 43%, shots finished 22-10.

What was the final score of Irapuato vs CA La Paz?

Irapuato 3-1 CA La Paz in the Mexico - Primera A on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Irapuato vs CA La Paz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Irapuato win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Irapuato 58%, draw 14%, CA La Paz 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Irapuato), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Irapuato) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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