Correcaminos UAT 1-3 Cancun FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.03
Over 2.5
63%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.61
No
37%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.8pp
37%
Under 2.5
45%
-8.9pp
64%
Over 2.5
55%
+8.9pp
63%
BTTS Yes
58%
+5.4pp
37%
BTTS No
42%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.45/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.79
+3% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +64%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Correcaminos UAT
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Cancun FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
26.10.2025 Cancun FC Cancun FC 5-0 HT 2-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
12.01.2025 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
17.10.2024 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-3 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
01.02.2024 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 3-1 HT 1-1 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
06.08.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
26.01.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Correcaminos UAT
1-3
AWAY Cancun FC
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Correcaminos UAT vs Cancun FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cancun FC beat Correcaminos UAT 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Cancun FC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Correcaminos UAT had 53% of the ball to Cancun FC's 47%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cancun FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Correcaminos UAT and 2.17 for Cancun FC.

What was the final score of Correcaminos UAT vs Cancun FC?

Correcaminos UAT 1-3 Cancun FC in the Mexico - Primera A on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Correcaminos UAT vs Cancun FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cancun FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Correcaminos UAT 34%, draw 26%, Cancun FC 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cancun FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cancun FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
4 Apr 2026
02:00 Tlaxcala vs Dorados De Sinaloa Analysis →
04:00 Irapuato vs CA La Paz Analysis →
05:00 Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Analysis →