Tlaxcala 2-0 Dorados De Sinaloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.34
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
11%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
70%
+1.0pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.6pp
11%
Away Win
12%
-0.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
401 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tlaxcala
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2025 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-1 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
30.03.2025 Tlaxcala 3-2 HT 1-2 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
13.10.2024 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
25.01.2024 Tlaxcala 0-1 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
04.10.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 3-1 HT 0-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
15.02.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-2 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tlaxcala
2-0
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Tlaxcala vs Dorados De Sinaloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tlaxcala got the better of Dorados De Sinaloa 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tlaxcala as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Tlaxcala had 58% of the ball to Dorados De Sinaloa's 42%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dorados De Sinaloa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tlaxcala and 1.50 for Dorados De Sinaloa.

What was the final score of Tlaxcala vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Tlaxcala 2-0 Dorados De Sinaloa in the Mexico - Primera A on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tlaxcala vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tlaxcala win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Tlaxcala 71%, draw 18%, Dorados De Sinaloa 11%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tlaxcala), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tlaxcala) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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