Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tepatitlán de Morelos v Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Team-Based Signals
Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
0-3
HT 0-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Actual Match Statistics
Tepatitlán de Morelos beat Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Tepatitlán de Morelos as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Tepatitlán de Morelos had 54% of the ball to Alebrijes de Oaxaca's 46%, shots finished 17-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tepatitlán de Morelos had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 0.50 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
What was the final score of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Mexico - Primera A on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tepatitlán de Morelos win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 66%, draw 18%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.