Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tepatitlán de Morelos v Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Team-Based Signals
Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
0-3
HT 0-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
1-1
HT 1-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
1-2
HT 0-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
Tepatitlán de Morelos cruised past Alebrijes de Oaxaca 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tepatitlán de Morelos as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tepatitlán de Morelos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 0.83 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
What was the final score of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Tepatitlán de Morelos 4-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Mexico - Primera A on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tepatitlán de Morelos win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 53%, draw 25%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.