CD Tapatio 4-0 Correcaminos UAT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.21/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.60
-27% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Tapatio
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Correcaminos UAT
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
3 Corners 5
25.10.2024 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-3 HT 0-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
21.03.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-2 HT 0-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
17.08.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 2-2 HT 0-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
21.01.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-2 HT 1-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
21.09.2022 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-0 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
11.03.2022 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-0 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
POST-MATCH CD Tapatio vs Correcaminos UAT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Tapatio cruised past Correcaminos UAT 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CD Tapatio as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Tapatio had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for CD Tapatio and 0.83 for Correcaminos UAT.

What was the final score of CD Tapatio vs Correcaminos UAT?

CD Tapatio 4-0 Correcaminos UAT in the Mexico - Primera A on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Tapatio vs Correcaminos UAT?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split CD Tapatio 51%, draw 24%, Correcaminos UAT 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Tapatio), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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