Venados 2-1 Tlaxcala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.21
Over 2.5
64%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.66
No
37%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.1pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.3pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+9.2pp
36%
Under 2.5
41%
-5.6pp
64%
Over 2.5
59%
+5.6pp
63%
BTTS Yes
56%
+6.5pp
37%
BTTS No
44%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venados EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
2.57/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.67
+33% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venados
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tlaxcala
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
27.10.2024 Tlaxcala 1-1 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
22.02.2024 Tlaxcala 1-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
22.07.2023 Venados Venados 3-1 HT 1-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
28.04.2023 Tlaxcala 2-0 HT 1-0 Venados Venados MEK2
15.03.2023 Tlaxcala 1-1 HT 1-0 Venados Venados MEK2
05.10.2022 Venados Venados 3-0 HT 0-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
POST-MATCH Venados vs Tlaxcala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venados edged past Tlaxcala 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Venados as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Venados and 1.00 for Tlaxcala.

What was the final score of Venados vs Tlaxcala?

Venados 2-1 Tlaxcala in the Mexico - Primera A on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venados vs Tlaxcala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Venados 53%, draw 19%, Tlaxcala 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venados), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Venados) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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