Dorados De Sinaloa 1-1 Tlaxcala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.97
Over 2.5
42%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
35%
+7.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-5.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
47%
+11.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
53%
-11.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.3pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 42%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.20/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/1.58
-12% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -23%
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
295 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Tlaxcala
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
30.03.2025 Tlaxcala 3-2 HT 1-2 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
13.10.2024 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
25.01.2024 Tlaxcala 0-1 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
04.10.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 3-1 HT 0-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
15.02.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-2 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
13.07.2022 Tlaxcala 0-2 HT 0-1 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa
1-1
AWAY Tlaxcala
34% Ball Possession 66%
3 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dorados De Sinaloa vs Tlaxcala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorados De Sinaloa and Tlaxcala couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Dorados De Sinaloa at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dorados De Sinaloa had 34% of the ball to Tlaxcala's 66%, shots finished 3-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dorados De Sinaloa had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dorados De Sinaloa and 1.00 for Tlaxcala.

What was the final score of Dorados De Sinaloa vs Tlaxcala?

Dorados De Sinaloa 1-1 Tlaxcala in the Mexico - Primera A on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorados De Sinaloa vs Tlaxcala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorados De Sinaloa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dorados De Sinaloa 43%, draw 25%, Tlaxcala 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dorados De Sinaloa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dorados De Sinaloa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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