Cancun FC 5-0 Correcaminos UAT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.37
Draw
15%
4.49
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
68%
+2.6pp
15%
Draw
19%
-3.6pp
14%
Away Win
13%
+1.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 16%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
2.43/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.88
+14% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -32%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
397 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cancun FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Correcaminos UAT
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
12.01.2025 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
17.10.2024 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-3 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
01.02.2024 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 3-1 HT 1-1 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
06.08.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
26.01.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
12.08.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cancun FC
5-0
AWAY Correcaminos UAT
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cancun FC vs Correcaminos UAT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cancun FC swept aside Correcaminos UAT 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cancun FC as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cancun FC had 48% of the ball to Correcaminos UAT's 52%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cancun FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cancun FC and 1.17 for Correcaminos UAT.

What was the final score of Cancun FC vs Correcaminos UAT?

Cancun FC 5-0 Correcaminos UAT in the Mexico - Primera A on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cancun FC vs Correcaminos UAT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cancun FC win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Cancun FC 71%, draw 15%, Correcaminos UAT 14%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cancun FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cancun FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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