Cancun FC 2-1 Correcaminos UAT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒04:06 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-3.2pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.2pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -16%
2.07/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.83
+8% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cancun FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Correcaminos UAT
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.10.2024 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-3 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
01.02.2024 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 3-1 HT 1-1 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
06.08.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
26.01.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
12.08.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
02.03.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-1 HT 0-1 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
POST-MATCH Cancun FC vs Correcaminos UAT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cancun FC nicked a narrow win over Correcaminos UAT 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cancun FC as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cancun FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cancun FC and 1.00 for Correcaminos UAT.

What was the final score of Cancun FC vs Correcaminos UAT?

Cancun FC 2-1 Correcaminos UAT in the Mexico - Primera A on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cancun FC vs Correcaminos UAT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cancun FC win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Cancun FC 58%, draw 22%, Correcaminos UAT 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cancun FC), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cancun FC) ✓ Over 2.5
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