Atlante 3-0 Celaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlante EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Celaya EU Bookmakers 24%
+9% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
1.70/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.11
-5% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +46%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
330 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlante
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Celaya
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
17.11.2024 Atlante Atlante 0-3 HT 0-2 Celaya Celaya MEK2
15.11.2024 Celaya Celaya 1-1 HT 1-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
26.09.2024 Celaya Celaya 0-1 HT 0-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
15.01.2024 Atlante Atlante 2-1 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
23.08.2023 Celaya Celaya 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
16.02.2023 Atlante Atlante 1-0 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
POST-MATCH Atlante vs Celaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlante cruised past Celaya 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atlante as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atlante and 0.83 for Celaya.

What was the final score of Atlante vs Celaya?

Atlante 3-0 Celaya in the Mexico - Primera A on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlante vs Celaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Atlante 47%, draw 26%, Celaya 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlante) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atlante) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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