Atlante 0-3 Celaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 17 Nov 2024

Atlante
0-3 HT 0-2
Celaya
📅17/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

Atlante vs Celaya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
27%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
46%
+6.8pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.9pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atlante v Celaya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlante EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Celaya EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.12/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.16
-26% / +145% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 66%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Atlante vs Celaya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlante
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Celaya
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
The Meetings
15.11.2024 Celaya Celaya 1-1 HT 1-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
26.09.2024 Celaya Celaya 0-1 HT 0-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
15.01.2024 Atlante Atlante 2-1 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
23.08.2023 Celaya Celaya 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
16.02.2023 Atlante Atlante 1-0 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
13.11.2022 Celaya Celaya 1-3 HT 0-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
POST-MATCH Atlante vs Celaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celaya cruised past Atlante 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Atlante at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atlante and 0.50 for Celaya.

What was the final score of Atlante vs Celaya?

Atlante 0-3 Celaya in the Mexico - Primera A on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlante vs Celaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Atlante 53%, draw 23%, Celaya 23%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Atlante), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atlante) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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