Celaya 1-1 Atlante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 15 Nov 2024

Celaya
1-1 HT 1-0
Atlante
📅15/11/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

Celaya vs Atlante Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.57
Draw
26%
2.83
Away
27%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
35%
+11.5pp
26%
Draw
32%
-5.3pp
27%
Away Win
33%
-6.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.9pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Celaya v Atlante — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celaya EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlante EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +15%
1.18/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.81
-9% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +62%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
259 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.7

Celaya vs Atlante Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celaya
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Atlante
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
The Meetings
26.09.2024 Celaya Celaya 0-1 HT 0-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
15.01.2024 Atlante Atlante 2-1 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
23.08.2023 Celaya Celaya 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
16.02.2023 Atlante Atlante 1-0 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
13.11.2022 Celaya Celaya 1-3 HT 0-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
10.11.2022 Atlante Atlante 0-0 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
POST-MATCH Celaya vs Atlante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celaya and Atlante shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Celaya at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Celaya and 1.17 for Atlante.

What was the final score of Celaya vs Atlante?

Celaya 1-1 Atlante in the Mexico - Primera A on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celaya vs Atlante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celaya win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Celaya 47%, draw 26%, Atlante 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Celaya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celaya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
15 Nov 2024
05:35 Leones Negros Udeg vs CD Tapatio Analysis →