Leones Negros Udeg 2-2 CD Tapatio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 15 Nov 2024

📅15/11/2024 · 🕒05:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.1pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 24%
+18% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
2.34/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.49
+34% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
353 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY CD Tapatio
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
27.07.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-1 HT 1-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
23.02.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
12.10.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-4 HT 1-3 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
13.03.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-3 HT 1-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
01.08.2022 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-2 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
11.04.2022 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-1 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
POST-MATCH Leones Negros Udeg vs CD Tapatio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg and CD Tapatio couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Leones Negros Udeg at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Leones Negros Udeg and 1.17 for CD Tapatio.

What was the final score of Leones Negros Udeg vs CD Tapatio?

Leones Negros Udeg 2-2 CD Tapatio in the Mexico - Primera A on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones Negros Udeg vs CD Tapatio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 44%, draw 27%, CD Tapatio 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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