Monarcas Morelia 1-0 CDS Tampico Madero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monarcas Morelia EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.39/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.49
-8% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monarcas Morelia
0W-1D-0L
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.07.2024 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 1-1 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
POST-MATCH Monarcas Morelia vs CDS Tampico Madero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monarcas Morelia squeezed past CDS Tampico Madero 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Monarcas Morelia as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Monarcas Morelia vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Monarcas Morelia 1-0 CDS Tampico Madero in the Mexico - Primera A on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monarcas Morelia vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monarcas Morelia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Monarcas Morelia 43%, draw 27%, CDS Tampico Madero 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monarcas Morelia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monarcas Morelia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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