Bergnäsets 2-1 Gottne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
26%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.51
Over 2.5
65%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+5.5pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.8pp
26%
Away Win
35%
-9.3pp
35%
Under 2.5
36%
-0.9pp
65%
Over 2.5
64%
+0.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.2pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergnäsets EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gottne EU Bookmakers 39%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.34/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.55
+29% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bergnäsets
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gottne
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
05.08.2023 Gottne Gottne 5-0 HT 3-0 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
01.04.2023 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 1-1 HT 1-1 Gottne Gottne İSÇ4
27.08.2022 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 2-0 HT 1-0 Gottne Gottne İSÇ4
07.05.2022 Gottne Gottne 8-0 HT 5-0 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
21.08.2021 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 0-3 HT 0-0 Gottne Gottne İSÇ4
13.06.2021 Gottne Gottne 1-0 HT 1-0 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Bergnäsets vs Gottne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bergnäsets squeezed past Gottne 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bergnäsets as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gottne led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bergnäsets and 3.00 for Gottne.

What was the final score of Bergnäsets vs Gottne?

Bergnäsets 2-1 Gottne in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergnäsets vs Gottne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bergnäsets win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bergnäsets 47%, draw 27%, Gottne 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bergnäsets), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bergnäsets) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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